Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.087114 0.097478 0.108219 0.120152 0.133012 0.146424 0.161442
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.067953 0.082872 0.099264 0.118483 0.140264 0.164054 0.191872
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.055764 0.073589 0.094230 0.119574 0.149526 0.183477 0.224538
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.046072 0.065514 0.089148 0.119394 0.156461 0.199810 0.253714
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041683 0.063109 0.090218 0.126077 0.171281 0.225419 0.294147
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038258 0.061340 0.091613 0.132833 0.186069 0.251113 0.335118
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.033252 0.056699 0.088643 0.133455 0.192764 0.266681 0.363766
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.027947 0.050913 0.083480 0.130592 0.194499 0.275730 0.384189
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025848 0.049567 0.084247 0.135574 0.206467 0.297865 0.421338
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023553 0.047612 0.083893 0.138824 0.216043 0.316972 0.454859
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021211 0.045274 0.082723 0.140718 0.223668 0.333540 0.485273
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018905 0.042697 0.080933 0.141506 0.229633 0.347887 0.512907
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018645 0.043802 0.085136 0.151627 0.249475 0.381906 0.567979
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016268 0.040823 0.082665 0.151664 0.255068 0.396936 0.598425
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014568 0.038870 0.081682 0.153866 0.263794 0.416408 0.635185
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012728 0.036356 0.079521 0.154045 0.269472 0.431710 0.666527
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012337 0.036760 0.082374 0.162253 0.287216 0.464133 0.721632
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011967 0.037147 0.085182 0.170436 0.305064 0.496952 0.777695
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010631 0.035181 0.083569 0.171218 0.311588 0.513680 0.811635
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008937 0.032081 0.079589 0.167802 0.311483 0.520823 0.832281
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008499 0.031942 0.081156 0.173779 0.326017 0.549241 0.882956
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007871 0.031218 0.081524 0.177671 0.337331 0.573121 0.927525
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007138 0.030090 0.080994 0.179937 0.346080 0.593341 0.967139